The Journal of Pediatrics
Volume 152, Issue 2 , Pages 191-200.e1, February 2008

Childhood Obesity Predicts Adult Metabolic Syndrome: The Fels Longitudinal Study

  • Shumei S. Sun, PhD

      Affiliations

    • From the Lifespan Health Research Center, Department of Community Health, Wright State University Boonshoft School of Medicine, Dayton, OH
    • Corresponding Author InformationReprint requests: Shumei S. Sun, PhD, Department of Community Health, 3171 Research Blvd, Dayton, OH 45420.
  • ,
  • Ruohong Liang, MS

      Affiliations

    • From the Lifespan Health Research Center, Department of Community Health, Wright State University Boonshoft School of Medicine, Dayton, OH
  • ,
  • Terry T.-K. Huang, PhD, MPH

      Affiliations

    • Endocrinology, Nutrition and Growth Branch, Center for Research for Mothers and Children, National Institute of Child Health and Human Development, National Institutes of Health, Bethesda, MD
  • ,
  • Stephen R. Daniels, MD, PhD

      Affiliations

    • Department of Pediatrics, University of Colorado School of Medicine, Denver, CO
  • ,
  • Silva Arslanian, MD

      Affiliations

    • Department of Pediatrics, University of Pittsburgh School of Medicine, Pittsburgh, PA
  • ,
  • Kiang Liu, PhD

      Affiliations

    • Department of Preventive Medicine, Northwestern University Medical School, Chicago, IL.
  • ,
  • Gilman D. Grave, MD

      Affiliations

    • Endocrinology, Nutrition and Growth Branch, Center for Research for Mothers and Children, National Institute of Child Health and Human Development, National Institutes of Health, Bethesda, MD
  • ,
  • Roger M. Siervogel, PhD

      Affiliations

    • From the Lifespan Health Research Center, Department of Community Health, Wright State University Boonshoft School of Medicine, Dayton, OH

Received 5 February 2007; received in revised form 12 June 2007; accepted 31 July 2007. published online 01 November 2007.

Objectives

To determine the age of significant divergence in body mass index (BMI) and waist circumference in adults with and without the metabolic syndrome, and to provide age- and sex-specific childhood values that predict adult metabolic syndrome.

Study design

Part 1 of this study is a retrospective cohort study of 92 men and 59 women (mean age, 51 years) who had metabolic syndrome and 154 randomly selected adults matched for age and sex who did not have the syndrome. Part 2 is a study of predictive accuracy in a validation sample of 743 participants.

Results

The first appearance of differences between adults with and without metabolic syndrome occurred at ages 8 and 13 for BMI and 6 and 13 for waist circumference in boys and girls, respectively. Odds ratios (ORs) for the metabolic syndrome at 30 years and older ranged from 1.4 to 1.9 across age groups in boys and from 0.8 to 2.8 across age groups in girls if BMI exceeded criterion values in childhood. The corresponding ORs for waist circumference ranged from 2.5 to 31.4 in boys and 1.7 to 2.5 in girls. These ORs increased with the number of examinations.

Conclusions

Children with BMI and waist circumference values exceeding the established criterion values are at increased risk for the adult metabolic syndrome.

Abbreviations: ATP, Adult Treatment Panel, BMI, Body mass index, CDC, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, EBMI, Elevated body mass index, EWC, Elevated waist circumference, HDL, High-density lipoprotein, NCEP, National Cholesterol Education Program, NHANES, National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey, OR, Odds ratio, ROC, Receiver operating characteristics

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 Supported by in part by National Institutes of Health grants DK 071485, HL 072838, and HD 12252.This manuscript was prepared for the Pediatric Metabolic Syndrome Working Group.

PII: S0022-3476(07)00752-4

doi:10.1016/j.jpeds.2007.07.055

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The Journal of Pediatrics
Volume 152, Issue 2 , Pages 191-200.e1, February 2008